UFC 236 occurs Saturday night in Atlanta, and you’ll be able to watch the five-fight main card reside on ESPN+. The card is ripe with fascinating fights through the night, but the vast majority of fans will likely be most-interested in the event’s closing two fights for its interim middleweight and lightweight titles.
We have you covered with comprehensive gambling analysis on the primary and co-main event…
Max Holloway & Dustin Poirier Rematch for Lightweight Gold
Can Kelvin Gastelum Steal Israel Adesanya’s Spotlight?
… but that does not mean we still can’t find out a thing or two about the night’s additional 11 fights!
What follows is a short breakdown on every matchup in UFC 236 in a bid to discover enough about every fighter to make a more educated wager on these if your heart needs.
Interim Lightweight Title Fight: Max Holloway (-205) vs. Dustin Poirier (+165)
Poirier has been on a war path since returning to light-weight April, 2015. Overall, he has won eight of the last 10 battles and suffered just 1 loss (KO to Michael Johnson) and one no contest in his first fight against Eddie Alvarez. Poirier ranks first among busy UFC lightweights in dramatic differential per second at +2.69.
The two Poirier (7.11 strikes per second ) and Holloway (6.9) rank among the top-five highest-volume strikers from the total UFC. Holloway’s quantity is like an avalanche that becomes more-and-more overpowering as the fight goes on.
Holloway’s last fight was arguably the best championship functionality in UFC history. Overall, his 290 significant strikes in a struggle broke the UFC championship record.
Holloway started the week as a -230 favored, but activity has arrived in heavily on Poirier ever since.
Interim Middleweight Title Fight: Kelvin Gastelum (+150) vs. Israel Adesanya (-185)
Gastelum was able to record at least one knockdown against former winners Jacare Souza, Michael Bisping, Chris Weidman and Vitor Belfort during his hellacious run during the middleweight division. His constant barrages of one-two mixtures have been hard for practically all of his opponents do deal with during his career.
Israel’The Last Stylebender’ Adesanya is a former Glory Kickboxing winner that has rung up a 16-0 record to start his mixed martial arts career. He will not need anything to do with Gastelum — a state championship wrestler in high school — about the floor, but we’ve yet to see some come near out-classing Adesanya around the feet throughout his five UFC wins.
Adesanya opened the week as a -175 favored, but has since moved up to -185 supporting the public’s support.
Light Heavyweight Fight: Eryk Anders (-200) vs. Khalil Rountree (+160)
Anders played linebacker under Nick Saban at Alabama from 2006-2009 before starting his mixed martial arts career. All three of Anders’ livelihood losses have come in his last four fights, but those were just two split-decision losses along with a single TKO reduction via referee stoppage throughout his short-notice light heavyweight debut against Thiago Santos, who will fight Jon Jones for the division’s championship in July.
Rountree recorded the biggest victory of his career at UFC 226 against long-time championship kickboxer Gokhan Saki, but was pumped out by increasing contender Johnny Walker past November. Rountree’s career striking differential of -0.99 has made it hard for him to win conflicts by any way aside from a finish, and he has consequently lost both of his career UFC fights who have made it past the first round.
Welterweight Fight: Alan Jouban (-120) vs. Dwight Grant (-110)
Jouban will be giving up a five-inch advantage advantage to Grant. This is uncharted territory for Jouban during his 11-fight UFC career, but he is 3-1 in fights with a reach advantage of three or more inches. Meanwhile, Grant is 1-1 in the UFC with a success over Carlo Pedersoli Jr. (75-inch reach) plus a split-decision loss to Zak Ottow (72-inch achieve ).
The x-factor in this fight could wind up being volume. Jouban finds himself one of the top-10 welterweights in UFC history in knockdowns landed (No. 4), important strike precision (No. 7), strikes per second (No. 3) and striking differential (No. 4).
Light Heavyweight Fight: Ovince Saint Preux (-110) vs. Nikita Krylov (-120)
Krylov has quite literally had a struggle go to the judges in 30 career MMA fights. This includes 10 fights inside the Octagon, that were featured three wins by TKO/KO and three by entry in contrast to three losses by entry and one by TKO.
This is actually a rematch from UFC 171, when OSP defeated Krylov by first-round submission. The finish featured Saint Preux’s signature submission: The Von Flue choke.
UFC 236 Prelims
Lightweight Fight: Jalin Turner (-140) vs. Matt Frevola (+110)
Turner boasts massive elevation (6-foot-3 vs. 5-foot-9) and reach (77 inches vs. 71) benefits over Frevola, although that edge could be mitigated when the latter fighter can instigate his takedown-heavy assault. Turner was last seen starching Callan Potter in only 53 seconds back in UFC 234 in February.
Flyweight Fight: Wilson Reis (+130) vs. Alexandre Pantoja (-160)
Reis is presently the UFC’s No. 4 ranked flyweight before his bout with fifth-ranked Alexandre Pantoja. Although Reis has lost three of his last four fights, they’ve come against a high-level competitors such as John Moraga, present flyweight champion Henry Cejudo and former winner Demetrious Johnson. Both Reis (12:08) and Pantoja (11:58) have average combat times that would indicate we’ll see this fight last to the third round.
Welterweight Fight: Max Griffin (-105) vs. Zelim Imadaev (-125)
Imadaev opened the week with -115 chances. Public assistance has come in on the undefeated Russian, who has won all eight of the fights by TKO or KO. He’s making his debut inside the octagon against Max Griffin, who has dropped four of the last six fights dating back to August, 2016. There is a bit of terrible blood here, as Griffin sparred with Imadaev once upon a time and had this to say about his competitor…
“He is an ass, man. He’s not a good man… I really don’t like the man… I’m excited about showing him what it’s like.”
Bantamweight Fight: Boston Salmon (-150) vs. Khalid Taha (+120)
Boston’Boom Boom’ Salmon has only lost once in seven career fights (by split-decision). Salmon won his final fight against Ricky Turcios on the debut episode of Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. He’ll maintain a four-inch height benefit of Taha, who has dropped two of his last three fights. Backing Salmon at his early -135 chances was one of my favourite stakes on the card, but he still offers a little bit of worth at his current -150 chances.
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UFC 236 Historical Prelims
Welterweight Fight: Curtis Millender (+115) vs. Belal Muhammad (-145)
Millender fought only last month in UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. dos Santos, finally losing by entry (rear-naked choke) into Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos. Muhammad continues to be busy, as he endured a unanimous decision loss to Geoff Neal back in January in UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw. Millender boasts three and four inch height and reach advantages, respectively, although Muhammad continues to be a lot more of a takedown hazard during his UFC career.
Bantamweight Fight: Montel Jackson (-550) vs. Andre Soukhamthath (+375)
Jackson started the week as a -500 favorite, but has since moved even higher. He’s the largest favorite on the card. Soukhamthath is 13-6 as a skilled and has been fed to Jackson, who has dropped only once in eight career bouts.
Girls Strawweight Fight: Lauren Mueller (+145) vs. Poliana Botelho (-175)
Both of these girls have high striking rates and do not waste their time getting started. This is very true for Botelho, who notched the third-fastest end in the history of the UFC women’s branch back in May, 2018.
Bantamweight Fight: Brandon Davis (-170) vs. Randy Costa (+140)
Costa is undefeated in four professional fights, while Davis is just 9-5. Both fighters are making a debut of sorts, as Costa will probably be within the octagon for the first time in his career, while Davis has seemingly never fought 135 pounds.
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