UFC ESPN 1 & Bellator 215/216

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Matt Mitrione FREE Breakdown:
Sergei Kharitonov comes into this one riding high with all the bookies after defeating Roy Nelson, but in age 38 his abilities will probably not be advancing. Mitrione has the superior technique, power and durability status that ought to see him using a sensible benefit. Kharitonov will be looking to get down the fight but it’s going to be hard given Mitrione’s exceptional athleticism. Anticipate a tentative start from both guys before Mitrione starts accumulating strikes for a TKO stoppage.
Bet = Mitrione in 1.95 (-105) chances. Risk 3 Units to win 2.85 Units.Francis Ngannou Breakdown:
Cain is coming into this fight after a significant injury layoff. In fact he’s had only 1 success because Ngannou entered the UFC, having fought 9 occasions himself. With so many question marks on his state the fight appears to be lined too wide. Ngannou obviously has enormous stopping power and will be very dangerous on the feet . If Cain has lost a step or comes from appearing slow he is in trouble. Historically his style attracts a whole lot of pressure to competitions but he is receptive to shooting shots himself, especially when gassed. Both guys have paths to victory here, Ngannou is able to keep the fight standing and find an early KO. Cain will wish to avoid the early storm and look to wear the bigger man out using takedowns and cage strain. We like the underdog in what seems to be a 50/50 fight going in. However, the winner of this fight is likely to look dominant.
Bet = Ngannou in 2.65 (+165) odds. Risk 2 Units to acquire 3.3 Units.
James Vick Breakdown:
Vick’s stock is at an all-time low after his recent KO but his run towards the top was remarkable. Inside this matchup he will be the superior technical fighter with the length and speed benefit. Felder has a propensity to mirror his opponent but he will have to turn this one into a brawl to find victory. It’s possible he connects with a kill shot, but the rest of the avenues to success are in Vick’s favour. Felder requires a close range fight to utilise his very best weapons but Vick has shown he can stick to a gameplan and keep it at range. We like the line on Vick to cruise to victory with a clinical choice.
Bet = Vick in 1.91 (-110) odds. Risk 3 Units to acquire 2.73 Units.
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